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Atmospheric carbon dioxide buildup unlikely to spark abrupt climate change
There have been instances in Earth history when average temperatures have changed rapidly, as much as 10 degrees Celsius (18 degrees Fahrenheit) over a few decades, and some have speculated the same could happen again as the atmosphere becomes overloaded with carbon dioxide.
New research lends support to evidence from numerous recent studies that suggest abrupt climate change appears to be the result of alterations in ocean circulation uniquely associated with ice ages.
“There might be other mechanisms by which greenhouse gases may cause an abrupt climate change, but we know of no such mechanism from the geological record,” said David Battisti, a University of Washington atmospheric sciences professor.
More Evidence that Global Warming is a False Alarm:
A Model Simulation of the last 40 Years of Deep Ocean Warming
Well, maybe what is really missing is the IPCC’s willingness to admit the climate system is simply not as sensitive to our greenhouse gas emissions as they claim it is. Maybe the missing heat is missing because it does not really exist.
This is where we can learn from the 40+ year record of deep ocean temperature changes. Even the 2007 IPCC report admitted the oceans have warmed more slowly at depth than the climate models can explain.
Either man-made and natural climatic effects have conspired to completely offset the warming that should have occurred due to greenhouse gasses in the past decade, or our estimation of the ‘climate sensitivity’ to greenhouse gasses is too large. (It's alway been a load of 'Pseudo Science' grossly over exaggerated distortions anyway. The claimed temp and climate forcings caused by CO2/GHGs)
Breaking: A peer reviewed admission that “global surface temperatures did not rise between 1998 and 2008″ – Dr David Whitehouse on the PNAS paper Kaufmann et al. (2011)
Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998 – 2008.
It is good news that the authors recognise that there has been no global temperature increase since 1998. Even after the standstill appears time and again in peer-reviewed scientific studies, many commentators still deny its reality. We live in the warmest decade since thermometer records began about 150 years ago, but it hasn’t gotten any warmer for at least a decade.
Either man-made and natural climatic effects have conspired to completely offset the warming that should have occurred due to greenhouse gasses in the past decade, or our estimation of the ‘climate sensitivity’ to greenhouse gasses is too large.
This is not an extreme or ‘sceptic’ position but represents part of the diversity of scientific opinion presented to the IPCC that is seldom reported.
We sure got 'climate science Myopia' in today's NZ Herald propaganda dross article:
They 'conveniently' forgot' Albany does get tornadoes at times. Only thing is. Albany is now being built out by urbanisation and Industrial sprawl, so the chances of a 'Tornado' doing damage and causing loss of life are higher now since it's no longer open farmland!
As for the Russian heatwave and Pakistan flood claims. well, err there's NO Link. yet another peer reviewed study has shown the Russian heatwave was primarily a natural event.Same for the Pakistan floods. Pakistan had big floods in the 1970s(from memory) and had even bigger floods when that region was still part of India!
Yeah it was rather obvious. If there was a contributing factor. Blaming China's coal emissions was a convenient copout.
New NASA paper contradicts Kaufmann et al saying it’s volcanoes, not China coal. Volcanoes are one of the few ways aersols can be blown directly into the upper atmosphere to have any effect. The claims of Human and animal CO2, SO2 or methane emissions on global warming or global cooling effects are gross over exaggerations!
The greenhouse effect inside greenhouses is due to the blockage of convective heat transfer with the environment and it is not related, neither obeys, to any kind of “trapped” radiation. Therefore, the greenhouse effect does not exist as it is described in many didactic books and articles.
The experiment performed by Prof. Robert W. Wood in 1909 is absolutely valid and systematically repeatable.
In average, the blockage of convective heat transfer with the surroundings causes an increase of temperature inside the greenhouses of 10.03 °C with respect to the surroundings temperature.
New Paper “On the Misdiagnosis Of Surface Temperature Feedbacks From Variations In Earth’s Radiant Energy Balance” By Spencer and Braswell 2011
Climate models get energy balance wrong, make too hot forecasts of global warming
HUNTSVILLE, Ala. (July 26, 2011) — Data from NASA’s Terra satellite shows that when the climate warms, Earth’s atmosphere is apparently more efficient at releasing energy to space than models used to forecast climate change have been programmed to “believe.”
The result is climate forecasts that are warming substantially faster than the atmosphere, says Dr. Roy Spencer, a principal research scientist in the Earth System Science Center at The University of Alabama in Huntsville.
Claimed drowning Polar Bears and all the Global Warming hyperbole that went with it was a gross over exaggeration away.
APNewsBreak: Arctic scientist under investigation
(AP) JUNEAU, Alaska — A federal wildlife biologist whose observation in 2004 of presumably drowned polar bears in the Arctic helped to galvanize the global warming movement has been placed on administrative leave and is being investigated for scientific misconduct, possibly over the veracity of that article.
Took them long enough. This has been known for sometime.
Yet another nail in the coffin of tripe AGW/CC.
Large variations in Arctic sea ice
ClimateFor the last 10,000 years, summer sea ice in the Arctic Ocean has been far from constant. For several thousand years, there was much less sea ice in the Arctic Ocean – probably less than half of current amounts. This is indicated by new findings by The Centre for Geogenetics at the University of Copenhagen. The results of the study will be published in the journal Science.
New paper finds Arctic sea ice strongly linked to varying storm activity
Warmists often claim changes in Arctic sea ice are a consequence of allegedly-anthropogenic global warming. However, a paper published today in the Journal of Geophysical Research finds that "dramatic interannual changes" in Arctic sea ice extent are due to varying storm activity in the months of May-July, which impacts "cloud cover and ice motion, and consequently sea ice melt." The authors find fewer cyclones in the Arctic Ocean "appear to favor a low sea ice area at the end of the melt season." Thus, the alleged connection between AGW and Arctic sea ice extent becomes all the more elusive.
Atmospheric carbon dioxide buildup unlikely to spark abrupt climate change
There have been instances in Earth history when average temperatures have changed rapidly, as much as 10 degrees Celsius (18 degrees Fahrenheit) over a few decades, and some have speculated the same could happen again as the atmosphere becomes overloaded with carbon dioxide.
New research lends support to evidence from numerous recent studies that suggest abrupt climate change appears to be the result of alterations in ocean circulation uniquely associated with ice ages.
“There might be other mechanisms by which greenhouse gases may cause an abrupt climate change, but we know of no such mechanism from the geological record,” said David Battisti, a University of Washington atmospheric sciences professor.
http://www.washington.edu/news/articles/atmospheric-carbon-dioxide-buildup-unlikely-to-spark-abrupt-climate-change
Posted by: AcidComments | June 21, 2011 at 10:53 AM
I see you're still cherry-picking like the rest Ian.
Funny how starting a year earlier, or 2 years earlier, or a year later, or 2 years later, all show more of a warming trend.....
Same old same old.
Posted by: CM | June 28, 2011 at 11:20 PM
More Evidence that Global Warming is a False Alarm:
A Model Simulation of the last 40 Years of Deep Ocean Warming
Well, maybe what is really missing is the IPCC’s willingness to admit the climate system is simply not as sensitive to our greenhouse gas emissions as they claim it is. Maybe the missing heat is missing because it does not really exist.
This is where we can learn from the 40+ year record of deep ocean temperature changes. Even the 2007 IPCC report admitted the oceans have warmed more slowly at depth than the climate models can explain.
http://www.drroyspencer.com/2011/06/more-evidence-that-global-warming-is-a-false-alarm-a-model-simulation-of-the-last-40-years-of-deep-ocean-warming/
Posted by: AcidComments | June 29, 2011 at 10:12 AM
Just as well all models are rubbish huh Acid. Or perhaps you believe in them now? ;-)
Posted by: CM | June 30, 2011 at 08:54 PM
"Funny how starting a year earlier, or 2 years earlier, or a year later, or 2 years later, all show more of a warming trend....."
You're right, CM, look - from 2008 to 2010 shows massive warming!
:-)
Posted by: robk | July 03, 2011 at 09:06 AM
Of interest:
Either man-made and natural climatic effects have conspired to completely offset the warming that should have occurred due to greenhouse gasses in the past decade, or our estimation of the ‘climate sensitivity’ to greenhouse gasses is too large. (It's alway been a load of 'Pseudo Science' grossly over exaggerated distortions anyway. The claimed temp and climate forcings caused by CO2/GHGs)
Breaking: A peer reviewed admission that “global surface temperatures did not rise between 1998 and 2008″ – Dr David Whitehouse on the PNAS paper Kaufmann et al. (2011)
Reconciling anthropogenic climate change with observed temperature 1998 – 2008.
It is good news that the authors recognise that there has been no global temperature increase since 1998. Even after the standstill appears time and again in peer-reviewed scientific studies, many commentators still deny its reality. We live in the warmest decade since thermometer records began about 150 years ago, but it hasn’t gotten any warmer for at least a decade.
Either man-made and natural climatic effects have conspired to completely offset the warming that should have occurred due to greenhouse gasses in the past decade, or our estimation of the ‘climate sensitivity’ to greenhouse gasses is too large.
This is not an extreme or ‘sceptic’ position but represents part of the diversity of scientific opinion presented to the IPCC that is seldom reported.
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/04/a-peer-reviewed-admission-that-global-surface-temperatures-did-not-rise-dr-david-whitehouse-on-the-pnas-paper-kaufmann-et-al-2011/
Posted by: AcidComments | July 05, 2011 at 02:21 PM
The IPCC and high biased climate sensitivity
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/05/the-ipcc-and-high-biased-climate-sensitivity/
Posted by: AcidComment | July 06, 2011 at 10:13 AM
While the Sun’s in a funk, no hint of resumed ocean warming
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/09/while-suns-in-a-funk-no-hint-of-resumed-warming-in-the-oceans/
Posted by: AcidComments | July 10, 2011 at 12:57 PM
New study suggests that the volcanic impact on climate may be significantly underestimated
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/11/new-study-suggests-that-the-volcanic-impact-on-climate-may-be-significantly-underestimated/
Posted by: AcidComments | July 12, 2011 at 04:45 PM
What a joke. Germany to build more coal power stations.
Yep its a farce and a real rort alright. This carbon emission reduction BS!
Germany to shovel climate fund dollars into coal plants
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/13/germany-to-shovel-climate-fund-dollars-into-coal-plants/
Utter Farce: Carbon Tax Used to Fund New Coal Power Stations.
http://hauntingthelibrary.wordpress.com/2011/07/14/utter-farce-carbon-tax-used-to-fund-new-coal-power-stations/
Posted by: AcidComments | July 15, 2011 at 10:55 AM
We sure got 'climate science Myopia' in today's NZ Herald propaganda dross article:
They 'conveniently' forgot' Albany does get tornadoes at times. Only thing is. Albany is now being built out by urbanisation and Industrial sprawl, so the chances of a 'Tornado' doing damage and causing loss of life are higher now since it's no longer open farmland!
As for the Russian heatwave and Pakistan flood claims. well, err there's NO Link. yet another peer reviewed study has shown the Russian heatwave was primarily a natural event.Same for the Pakistan floods. Pakistan had big floods in the 1970s(from memory) and had even bigger floods when that region was still part of India!
Global warming 'influencing weather extremes'
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=10738572
Climate Science Myopia
http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/2011/07/14/climate-science-myopia/
Posted by: AcidComments | July 15, 2011 at 12:42 PM
Laurens Bouwer, IPCC Lead Author Admits There Has Been No Significant Impact From Climate Change
http://www.c3headlines.com/2011/07/laurens-bouwer-ipcc-lead-author-admits-there-has-been-no-significant-impact-from-climate-change.html
Posted by: RK | July 18, 2011 at 03:48 PM
NOAA States That 96% of Deadliest U.S. Tornadoes Occurred Before 1960, Prior To The "Global Warming" Hysteria
http://www.c3headlines.com/2011/07/noaa-states-that-96-of-deadliest-us-tornadoes-occurred-before-1960-prior-to-the-global-warming-hyste.html
Posted by: RK | July 18, 2011 at 03:58 PM
Yeah it was rather obvious. If there was a contributing factor. Blaming China's coal emissions was a convenient copout.
New NASA paper contradicts Kaufmann et al saying it’s volcanoes, not China coal. Volcanoes are one of the few ways aersols can be blown directly into the upper atmosphere to have any effect. The claims of Human and animal CO2, SO2 or methane emissions on global warming or global cooling effects are gross over exaggerations!
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/18/new-nasa-paper-contradicts-kaufmann-et-al-saying-its-volcanoes-not-china-coal/
Posted by: AcidComments | July 19, 2011 at 01:23 PM
Experiment on the Cause of Real Greenhouses’ Effect - Repeatability of Prof. Robert W. Wood’s experiment
By Nasif S. Nahle
University Professor, Scientist, Scientific Research Director at Biology Cabinet©
Monterrey, N. L., Mexico.
GENERAL CONCLUSIONS:
The greenhouse effect inside greenhouses is due to the blockage of convective heat transfer with the environment and it is not related, neither obeys, to any kind of “trapped” radiation. Therefore, the greenhouse effect does not exist as it is described in many didactic books and articles.
The experiment performed by Prof. Robert W. Wood in 1909 is absolutely valid and systematically repeatable.
In average, the blockage of convective heat transfer with the surroundings causes an increase of temperature inside the greenhouses of 10.03 °C with respect to the surroundings temperature.
http://www.biocab.org/Wood_Experiment_Repeated.html
Posted by: AcidComments | July 20, 2011 at 10:31 AM
New Paper “On the Misdiagnosis Of Surface Temperature Feedbacks From Variations In Earth’s Radiant Energy Balance” By Spencer and Braswell 2011
Climate models get energy balance wrong, make too hot forecasts of global warming
HUNTSVILLE, Ala. (July 26, 2011) — Data from NASA’s Terra satellite shows that when the climate warms, Earth’s atmosphere is apparently more efficient at releasing energy to space than models used to forecast climate change have been programmed to “believe.”
The result is climate forecasts that are warming substantially faster than the atmosphere, says Dr. Roy Spencer, a principal research scientist in the Earth System Science Center at The University of Alabama in Huntsville.
http://pielkeclimatesci.wordpress.com/
Posted by: AcidComments | July 27, 2011 at 01:01 PM
Note to Lucy Lawless, Greenpeace & Co:
Claimed drowning Polar Bears and all the Global Warming hyperbole that went with it was a gross over exaggeration away.
APNewsBreak: Arctic scientist under investigation
(AP) JUNEAU, Alaska — A federal wildlife biologist whose observation in 2004 of presumably drowned polar bears in the Arctic helped to galvanize the global warming movement has been placed on administrative leave and is being investigated for scientific misconduct, possibly over the veracity of that article.
http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2011/07/28/ap/business/main20084614.shtml
Main polar bear alarmist put on leave, investigated
http://motls.blogspot.com/2011/07/polar-bear-alarmist-put-on-leave.html
Al Gore’s “drowned polar bear” AIT source under investigation
http://wattsupwiththat.com/2011/07/28/al-gores-drowned-polar-bear-ait-source-under-investigation/
Posted by: AcidComments | July 29, 2011 at 11:11 AM
Drowned Polar Bears and Scientific Misconduct
Charles Monett, Global Warming, Junk Science
The Inspector General interview transcript (excerpts) had me, for instance, in stitches.
Disclosing as it does the level of rigor of methodology being employed:
http://neveryetmelted.com/categories/charles-monnett/
Posted by: AcidComments | July 30, 2011 at 11:56 AM
Took them long enough. This has been known for sometime.
Yet another nail in the coffin of tripe AGW/CC.
Large variations in Arctic sea ice
ClimateFor the last 10,000 years, summer sea ice in the Arctic Ocean has been far from constant. For several thousand years, there was much less sea ice in the Arctic Ocean – probably less than half of current amounts. This is indicated by new findings by The Centre for Geogenetics at the University of Copenhagen. The results of the study will be published in the journal Science.
http://news.ku.dk/all_news/2011/2010.8/arctic_sea_ice/
New paper finds Arctic sea ice strongly linked to varying storm activity
Warmists often claim changes in Arctic sea ice are a consequence of allegedly-anthropogenic global warming. However, a paper published today in the Journal of Geophysical Research finds that "dramatic interannual changes" in Arctic sea ice extent are due to varying storm activity in the months of May-July, which impacts "cloud cover and ice motion, and consequently sea ice melt." The authors find fewer cyclones in the Arctic Ocean "appear to favor a low sea ice area at the end of the melt season." Thus, the alleged connection between AGW and Arctic sea ice extent becomes all the more elusive.
http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.com/2011/08/new-paper-finds-arctic-sea-ice-strongly.html
Posted by: AcidComments | August 05, 2011 at 03:18 PM